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Posted by on Feb 7, 2013 in Business, Featured, Leadership | 15 comments

Duck! Here Comes The Pendulum (Again)

Robot_Dance_by_recycledwax700x300

We humans don’t just act in ways that are logical, dispassionate, and restrained. We aren’t Vulcans like Star Trek’s Mr. Spock, after all. In general I say, “Thank God for that!”

But we have to be careful not to overreact, not to fix things too much. If we compensate too strenuously for a bad situation by chosing its opposite, we’ll sow the seeds of a future bad situation. Water the plants too little, they’ll wilt. Water them too much, they’ll drown.

This isn’t just for us mortals. Boards are made up of people, too. Their resumes may make them look like superheroes, so that we idolize them and think of them as flawless, but as a man who has interviewed hundreds of board members, befriended plenty, and even served with a few, I can tell you from close exposure: they’re human. Just like you and me, though perhaps a little wealthier and influential than most of us.

So with that in mind, it just goes to follow that a board would replace a flake with a bureaucrat, and vice verse. And guess what? It happens all the time.

 

A board would replace a flake with a bureaucrat, and vice verse

 

Boards have problems when chosing CEOs after an ouster. When they decide to dump a robot, they tend to seek his oposite, which means charisma and energy rise to the top of their favored traits. When they decide to dump a wild man, it only follows that they’ll find a librarian type irresistible. “That last guy was so out of control!” they’ll often think. “A new transformative initiative every week, and nothing that ever bore fruit. Our heads are spinning! We need a rest!”

 

When they decide to dump a robot, they tend to seek his oposite

 

In the boom times of the early 2000′s, shoot-from-the-hip types often drove incredible levels of innovation and profit, just what risk-friendly investors demanded. Yahoos rose to the top.

Then the music stopped, and everyone scrambled for the seats. Boards dumped their brave but reckless yahoos in droves. They brought on measure-twice-cut-once types. Corrections were made. Processes were put in place. Innovation was drummed out, in favor of process and reliability. The workplace, especially in the enterprise, became wonderfully safe for workers and managers with a bureaucratic bent. It became living hell for opportunity-chasing operators and visionaries.

 

Innovation was drummed out, in favor of process and reliability

 

Guess what? The music is playing again. It’s still faint, but you can hear it too, can’t you? In some industries, in some nations and in some regions, it is louder than in others – but regardless, it’s there.

And now, boards across the country and the globe are finding themselves stuck with their measured, careful reactions to conditions of 2009. In other words, they’re looking at their CEOs and noticing that the new car smell has faded. Bureaucrats aren’t so sexy anymore. You can’t get there from here, especially not with a plodder in the driver’s seat.

 

 They’re looking at their CEOs and noticing that the new car smell has faded

 

The pendulum swings, and it swings back. It’s what pendulums do. Yes, it would be best for a board to bring on a 20-year CEO this time, someone who fits in the middle, with a penchant for taking the main chance while keeping at least one foot planted firmly on the ground. I hope your board makes that call.

In the meantime, if you’ve been languishing under a robot or a librarian for too long, take solice in this post. The pendulum always returns to center. It’s the nature of pendulums.

Just as overreaction is the nature of most boards.

 

Art by  Recycled Wax

 

Ted Coine (93 Posts)

Author | Speaker | Consultant Ted Coiné is one of the most influential business leaders on Twitter, with a following of over two hundred thousand and growing rapidly. He has been ranked by both Huffington Post and Forbes for his business leadership and social media influence. An inspirational speaker, Ted is author of Five-Star Customer Service and Spoil ’Em Rotten! Prior to writing his first book, Ted was founder and CEO of Coiné Language School, a B2B company he brought from his living room to a $10 million valuation in four years by focusing relentlessly on customer service. He is currently writing his third book, about how social media is transforming leadership and business in this exciting new century. Ted and his family live in Naples, Florida, where he is active in the tech startup scene.


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  • http://www.thecollaborationimperative.com Ron Ricci

    Ted – as usual, another provocative topic. I once had the honor of spending an hour with Jack Welch and I asked him why Jeff Immelt got the job, with so many other amazing candidates at GE at the time. He told me that he wanted someone who was the “opposite of me.” It goes without saying that nostalgia is the enemy of progress, and sometimes the pendulum swings because it is healthy to challenge the status quo, but to do it proactively before you need to swing something worse than a pendulum out of failure or fear. Keep up the good work. @RonRicciCisco

    • http://www.shiftandswitch.com Ted Coine

      Ron, that is priceless insight, and from the man many have dubbed the Manager of the 20th Century no less! Jack Welch is exactly the type of “20-year CEO” I refer to in my post. I know he was controversial, and as he is quick to admit he made mistakes throughout his career. But he was neither a cowboy nor a librarian.

      Your own leader, John Chambers, is another 20-year CEO. He has taken flack for turning the Cisco management structure from a hierarchy to a matrix, and you know much better than I what that feels like from the inside. From the outside, however, I applaud the effort. Anything a leader can do to bring more democracy and subsequent fluidity to the enterprise is to be admired.

      The age of command and control is over because the age of timidity is over. In today’s businesses, as the saying goes, “He who hesitates is lost.” A ruler – be that person a yahoo or a bureaucrat – is in way over his head. Our people must be connected and empowered to seize opportunities… or better yet, to create them. Waiting for permission (or orders!) from above? That was great in a different, slower-paced environment. Today it spells death.

      If memory serves, I think you wrote a book about the connected, empowered enterprise, didn’t you? ;)

  • http://www.frymonkeys.com/blog Alan Kay

    Yes, opposites often attract when change is required. The issue I see is that leaders are often hired based on the immediate issue at hand, i.e., fill up the hole that’s in front of us.

    As John Briggs & Gale Miller of the Solutions Behavioral Health Group Milwaukee concluded from their research on the job interview process: Think in terms of ‘emergence’. Hiring creates a change. Plus, you can’t ever replace or replicate the current situation. Choosing a person creates a new situation. Different kinds of people will create different situation / direction. So, should we choose a person, or a future situation based on the future we (and they) want?

    • http://www.shiftandswitch.com Ted Coine

      Alan, where I paint with broad brush strokes, your experience and insight allows you to easily fill in the blanks I leave behind, again and again. So once more, I thank you for this insight. I’ll check out Briggs and Miller’s work today!

      You’re absolutely right: boards that focus on solving current problems are acting in a dangerously short-sighted way. The main task of a board is to step back from the day-to-day and make sure that the long-term course the company is on will bring lasting strength. The surest way they can do that is by selecting, and overseeing, their CEO.

  • http://Lorettareillydesign.com Loretta Reilly

    Thanks Ted! I appreciate the pendulum metaphor with reference to being drawn to the polar opposite after a bad experience. So true that there are equal measures of pain and glory associated with both extremes. Moderation may be the safe and trusted road to take, however it is that endless swing from one extreme to the other that ultimately creates the balance and drives us onward.

    • http://www.shiftandswitch.com Ted Coine

      Loretta, I’m so with you there: if you must choose extremes, then doing so in succession will likely work out exactly as you suggest. That is one of the biggest reasons why the average tenure of a CEO is only 6 years. We lurch left, then lurch back right, then correct course by lurching to the left again… kind of like a really bad skater.

      Better would be to find a leader with her feet at least near the ground while her head is in the clouds. It’s a hard find, methinks.

      The real trouble comes when a board chooses either a cowboy or a librarian and then sticks with that choice for a long time. Disaster will ensue, without question. By the time it’s noticeable, it’s often too late.

    • Heather

      This conversation has opened my eyes to many questions I had. Now, can I make the pendulum swing ?

      • http://www.switchandshift.com Ted Coine

        Heather, I hate to have to say this, but that depends entirely on where you sit on the org chart.

        • Heather

          Yes it most certainly would depend on where I sit on the org chart. :)

  • http://stanfaryna.wordpress.com Stan Faryna

    So cowboys are in again? [grin]

    • http://www.shiftandswitch.com Ted Coine

      Cowboys? My hope is that boards avoid cowboys and librarians altogether. Guess we’ll just have to see…

  • http://www.lakesregionhome.com Roy Sanborn

    Great post. I would say this applies equally as we’ll to our current political situation…

    • http://www.shiftandswitch.com Ted Coine

      Roy, that’s a good – and unfortunate – point. Corporations are luckier than voters, though, because unlike political candidates, CEOs don’t belong to one of only two parties. Could you imagine?

  • http://www.linkedin.com/in/terenceplee/ Terry Lee

    Ted, great piece. I’m curious why you think the pendulum is swinging, now, as corporations report record profits and profit margins are expected to increase on average at least 8% this year. Wouldn’t that suggest the “Class of 2009″ is slapping each other on the back and cheering?

    • http://www.shiftandswitch.com Ted Coine

      Terry, I’ve been thinking about your comment and for four days now. You’ve actually inspired me to write a follow-up piece – thank you for that! I’ll post a link here when that one goes live: no date yet, so let me give you the “short version” (*ehem!*) of my reply…

      First, my caveat: as I write this on Feb. 16, it’s at least somewhat possible that America’s political leaders will allow the sequester to kick in, which may result in a return to the depression we’re just crawling out of. Too much is up in the air, but if that happens, I don’t think any prognosticator can say what’s next with any more than a random chance of accuracy; I certainly can’t.

      But if cooler (and less self-destructive) heads prevail in Washington, here is my reply to your very accurate comment: stock prices of today represent decisions of yesterday. Stock prices of tomorrow represent decisions that are made today. In other words, what got us here ain’t gonna get us there. Assuming it will is one of the classic mistakes of leadership. In military terms, it’s said that nations prepare to win the last war – that’s why they’re so often caught by surprise at the start of a war. In business terms, we often do the same thing. “It’s worked all along; we’d be fools to change now!” is the death-knell of any company, especially in the lightning-paced Twenty-Teens.

      Thanks to the process-obsessed leaders at the helms of many firms today, companies have cut back, become more efficient, and automated just about all they can. You might be surprised to hear me say it, but I even applaud much of those changes as necessary for survival – and if you’re out of business, you can’t employ anyone, can you?

      But if all this efficiency is why companies are doing so well now that demand is ratcheting up… what’s next? Talent migration, that’s what. As the economy warms back to prosperity, people leave bad situations for better ones, and the most talented workers are the ones who can do so first – after all, they are more desirable to multiple employers.

      This top talent doesn’t just want a job, they want to be part of something special! (Who doesn’t? But the most talented among us can afford to be picky.) Librarian types don’t exactly get “special.” That’s not their schtick. Cowboys are all about “special,” though. Risk takers; visionaries: they’re first, last, and all in between about inspirational workplace environments. So companies with visionaries at the helm begin sucking the top talent from stodgier, more bureaucratically-run firms. Sales decline at the bureaucracies. Stock prices decline. And the high fives, backslaps, and other self-congratulations taper off.

      Life is a cycle: in fashion, in politics, in business boom or bust. Librarians are great to see a firm through a bust. Busts end, sooner or later. When they do, boards who find they’re still tied to a librarian-style CEO…? We read cautionary case histories about those boards.